Signal #1 remains over Batanes; Typhoon Fabian to exit PAR Friday night — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   July 23, 2021   •   429

MANILA, Philippines — Typhoon Fabian is expected to exit the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Friday evening (July 23) according to state weather agency PAGASA.

As of its 5:00 p.m. bulletin, PAGASA said Typhoon Fabian was located 540 kilometers northeast of Itbayat, Batanes packed with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h and gustiness of 185 km/h.

Thus, tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) #1 remains hoisted over the province of Batanes while a cyclone warning signal was earlier lifted for Babuyan Islands.

Given this condition, residents of Batanes will continuously experience strong winds throughout the passage of the typhoon.

Meanwhile, typhoon-enhanced southwest monsoon will continuously experience scattered to widespread monsoon rains over Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Tarlac, Pampanga, Cavite, and Batangas.

Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will prevail over Metro Manila, the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, Bulacan, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and Northern Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands.

Also, occasional gusty conditions will be experienced over Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities in these areas.

According to PAGASA, Typhoon Fabian is forecast to gradually intensify in the near term and reach its peak intensity tomorrow afternoon.

A weakening trend in its intensity may begin by Sunday morning.

Scattered rains to prevail over Metro Manila, other areas due to LPA, ITCZ

Marje Pelayo   •   September 17, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — State weather bureau PAGASA forecasts scattered rains over Metro Manila and other areas due to the combined effects of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and brewing low pressure area (LPA) south of the country.

Aside from Metro Manila, scattered rains will also prevail over the areas of areas in Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, SOCCSKSARGEN, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, La Union, Pangasinan, and Camarines Norte.

This, as PAGASA monitors the LPA specifically located at 90 kilometers east southeast of Romblon, Romblon, based on PAGASA’s 4:00AM forecast.

The LPA, embedded in the ITCZ generally affects Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.

Meanwhile, the rest of the country will have isolated rains or thunderstorms due to the impact of ITCZ combined with localized thunderstorms.

These weather conditions are likely to cause flash floods or landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rains or severe thunderstorms.

Thus, residents in areas prone to these hazards are advised to take precautionary measures for possible danger.

La Niña likely in the last quarter of 2021 — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that La Niña may occur in the coming months.

Based on the agency’s La Niña Alert issued on Tuesday (September 14), there is a 70% to 80% chance that La Niña will form in the last quarter this year.

This phenomenon may persist or prevail until the first quarter of 2022, the agency said.

Also, PAGASA’s rainfall forecast suggests that above-normal rainfall conditions in many areas may be experienced in the next several months.

This can be attributed to the expected stronger easterlies, enhanced Northeast monsoon and tropical cyclone occurrences, according to the advisory.

“The eastern sections of the country which normally receive more rainfall during the last quarter of the year could further increase the likelihood of more adverse impacts such as floods and landslides over highly vulnerable areas,” PAGASA Administrator Vic Malano said in the advisory.

“With this scenario, all concerned agencies are advised to take precautionary measures to mitigate the potential adverse impacts of this looming La Niña,” he added.

La Niña phenomenon refers to the unusually cool ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

Residents in parts of Bulacan warned amid Ipo Dam spilling ops

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Hydrometeorology Division advises residents in some parts of Bulacan to take caution amid the continuous spilling operations at Ipo Dam.

As of 8:00 a.m. Tuesday (September 14), the water level of Ipo Dam is 100.72 meters.

The dam management continues to conduct spilling operations with one gate open and thus, PAGASA advised residents in low-lying areas and those living near the riverbanks of Angat River from Norzagaray, Angat, San Rafael, Bustos, Baliuag, Pulilan, Plaridel, Calumpit, and Hagonoy to be alert for possible increase in water level.

PAGASA assured that it will continue to monitor the hydrological condition of Ipo Dam along with the Dam management for updates.

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