Widespread monsoon rains to prevail over Metro Manila, parts of Luzon as Typhoon Fabian nears exit

Marje Pelayo   •   July 23, 2021   •   278

MANILA, Philippines — Monsoon rains are expected to continue over Metro Manila and other parts of Luzon on Friday (July 23), according to the state weather agency PAGASA.

In its latest bulletin, PAGASA said Typhoon Fabian is continuously enhancing the southwest monsoon.

This will bring scattered to widespread monsoon rains in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, most of CALABARZON and Central Luzon, and portions of MIMAROPA.

As of 5:00 AM Friday, Typhoon Fabian was located 510 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes packed with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and a central pressure of 955 hPa

It is moving slowly towards the West Northwestward direction.

Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 630 km from the center thus, tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) No.1 remains over the areas of Batanes and the Babuyan Islands which is likely to remain throughout the passage of the typhoon, PAGASA said.

Meanwhile, occasionally gusty conditions associated with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will be experienced over the Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities of these areas.

Thus, rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Luzon (including the areas under TCWS #1) and Western Visayas.

Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters.

Mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor.

Based on its movement, typhoon Fabian is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tonight and tomorrow (24 July) morning.

La Niña likely in the last quarter of 2021 — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that La Niña may occur in the coming months.

Based on the agency’s La Niña Alert issued on Tuesday (September 14), there is a 70% to 80% chance that La Niña will form in the last quarter this year.

This phenomenon may persist or prevail until the first quarter of 2022, the agency said.

Also, PAGASA’s rainfall forecast suggests that above-normal rainfall conditions in many areas may be experienced in the next several months.

This can be attributed to the expected stronger easterlies, enhanced Northeast monsoon and tropical cyclone occurrences, according to the advisory.

“The eastern sections of the country which normally receive more rainfall during the last quarter of the year could further increase the likelihood of more adverse impacts such as floods and landslides over highly vulnerable areas,” PAGASA Administrator Vic Malano said in the advisory.

“With this scenario, all concerned agencies are advised to take precautionary measures to mitigate the potential adverse impacts of this looming La Niña,” he added.

La Niña phenomenon refers to the unusually cool ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

Residents in parts of Bulacan warned amid Ipo Dam spilling ops

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Hydrometeorology Division advises residents in some parts of Bulacan to take caution amid the continuous spilling operations at Ipo Dam.

As of 8:00 a.m. Tuesday (September 14), the water level of Ipo Dam is 100.72 meters.

The dam management continues to conduct spilling operations with one gate open and thus, PAGASA advised residents in low-lying areas and those living near the riverbanks of Angat River from Norzagaray, Angat, San Rafael, Bustos, Baliuag, Pulilan, Plaridel, Calumpit, and Hagonoy to be alert for possible increase in water level.

PAGASA assured that it will continue to monitor the hydrological condition of Ipo Dam along with the Dam management for updates.

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Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon, ITCZ affecting Southern Mindanao

Marje Pelayo   •   September 13, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — Tropical cyclone Chantu (Typhoon Kiko) has exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is now 790 kilometers North of Itbayat, Batanes.

According to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), the Southwest Monsoon and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) will bring cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over the areas of Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, MIMAROPA, the Zamboanga Peninsula, and the Bangsamoro.

This may cause flash floods or landslides due to heavy to at times intense rains in the said areas.

Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to the combined effects of the Southwest Monsoon and localized thunderstorms.

All Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are now lifted.

However, PAGASA said the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring occasional gusts reaching strong breezes to near gale strength over the coastal and upland or mountain areas of Northern Luzon, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA in the next 24 hours.

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